Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
