SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.38%) and 1-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Manchester United |
51.24% ( 0.04) | 21.44% ( -0.01) | 27.32% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.4% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.01) | 32.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.84% ( 0.01) | 54.16% ( -0.02) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( 0.02) | 13.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( 0.03) | 39.72% ( -0.04) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( -0.01) | 23.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% ( -0.02) | 57.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.24% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.32% |
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