SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.33%) and 1-3 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
27.5% ( -0.15) | 21.43% ( -0.02) | 51.07% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 66.59% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.67% ( -0.01) | 32.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.05% ( -0.01) | 53.95% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.1) | 23.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( -0.15) | 57.36% ( 0.14) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( 0.05) | 13.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( 0.1) | 39.69% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
