SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
46.16% ( -0.59) | 25.72% ( 0.31) | 28.11% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( -1.11) | 51.49% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.98) | 73.29% ( 0.98) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.73) | 22.28% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -1.11) | 55.74% ( 1.11) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.37) | 32.87% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( -0.41) | 69.44% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.11% |
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