SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
61.04% ( 0.71) | 21.17% ( 0.04) | 17.79% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( -1.38) | 43.1% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( -1.38) | 65.5% ( 1.39) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( -0.23) | 13.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.18% ( -0.46) | 40.82% ( 0.47) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% ( -1.65) | 37.78% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( -1.64) | 74.56% ( 1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.79% |
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