SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 7.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 3-0 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
77.47% ( 1.11) | 15.03% ( -0.5) | 7.5% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 41.93% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( 0.06) | 41.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( 0.05) | 63.72% ( -0.06) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.18% ( 0.27) | 8.81% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.78% ( 0.66) | 30.22% ( -0.66) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.98% ( -1.5) | 54.02% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.71% ( -0.94) | 87.28% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 2-0 @ 14.04% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 7% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.44% Total : 77.46% | 1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.49% Total : 15.03% | 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.47% Total : 7.5% |
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