SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
45.57% ( -0.81) | 24.92% ( 0.17) | 29.52% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.36) | 47.34% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.34) | 69.56% ( 0.34) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.5) | 20.82% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( -0.79) | 53.49% ( 0.8) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( 0.27) | 29.69% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( 0.33) | 65.74% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.52% |
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