SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
29.52% ( -0.14) | 26.55% ( 0.05) | 43.93% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.26) | 54.05% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( -0.22) | 75.48% ( 0.21) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.24) | 33.14% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( -0.26) | 69.74% ( 0.26) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.07) | 24.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -0.1) | 58.89% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.92% |
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