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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
ML

Rotherham
2 - 1
Millwall

Revan (71'), Wyke (86')
Clucas (75'), Rinomhota (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Longman (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Millwall

While Rotherham will give everything to find a small bit more respectability in this league, that may not prove enough to earn a result here. Millwall have been extremely solid under Harris, and we are anticipating a narrow victory at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMillwall
31.95% (1.319 1.32) 27.32% (-0.772 -0.77) 40.73% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 49.2% (2.68 2.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (3.164 3.16)56.2% (-3.165 -3.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74% (2.496 2.5)77.25% (-2.5 -2.5)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (2.611 2.61)32.51% (-2.613 -2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (2.833 2.83)69.04% (-2.836 -2.84)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (1.196 1.2)27.09% (-1.197 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (1.534 1.53)62.47% (-1.536 -1.54)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 31.95%
    Millwall 40.73%
    Draw 27.32%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.494 -0.49)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.394 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.324 0.32)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-1.129 -1.13)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.405 0.4)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-1.04 -1.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.239 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.098 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 5-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship


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