SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Rostov |
36.6% ( 0.18) | 28.14% ( 0.02) | 35.25% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.21% ( -0.08) | 58.79% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( -0.06) | 79.31% ( 0.06) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.07) | 30.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% ( 0.09) | 67.02% ( -0.09) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.17) | 31.61% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( -0.2) | 68.02% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
