SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
43.44% ( -0.14) | 27.6% ( 0.07) | 28.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( -0.23) | 58.22% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( -0.18) | 78.86% ( 0.18) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.18) | 26.59% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0.24) | 61.81% ( 0.24) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.07) | 35.78% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( -0.07) | 72.56% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 28.96% |
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