SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
38.68% ( -0.12) | 28.41% ( -0.05) | 32.91% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.03% ( 0.18) | 59.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.79% ( 0.14) | 80.21% ( -0.14) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( 0.02) | 30.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.79% ( 0.02) | 66.21% ( -0.02) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.21) | 33.79% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( 0.23) | 70.45% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.91% |
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