Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.