SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
40.14% ( 0.1) | 26.68% ( -0.09) | 33.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( 0.36) | 53.41% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( 0.31) | 74.94% ( -0.31) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.23) | 26.11% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( 0.3) | 61.18% ( -0.3) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.18) | 30.26% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( 0.21) | 66.43% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
