SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
35.75% ( -0.14) | 25.99% ( -0.03) | 38.25% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( 0.15) | 50.16% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.13) | 72.13% ( -0.13) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.01) | 27.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( -0.02) | 62.45% ( 0.02) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.16) | 25.65% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( 0.22) | 60.54% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
