Buoyed by their win over LaLiga side Villarreal, we are backing Saint-Etienne to extend their undefeated run and continue their fine off-season form against Montpellier, whose winless start to pre-season could continue.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.