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Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
M

St Etienne
0 - 4
Marseille


Cafaro (24'), Mouton (42'), Ekwah (59'), Abdelhamid (74'), Miladinovic (90')
Sissoko (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Greenwood (22'), Rabiot (34'), Henrique (69'), Hojbjerg (81')
Rowe (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 St Etienne
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-3 Marseille

While Huard could spring tactical surprises against in-form Marseille, we expect the visitors to adapt swiftly before running away with a comfortable victory, a result that would extend their winning run against Saint-Etienne. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
22.15% (-0.209 -0.21) 23.23% (-0.02 -0.02) 54.62% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (-0.157 -0.16)46.09% (0.154 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (-0.149 -0.15)68.39% (0.146 0.15)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)34.99% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.299 -0.3)71.73% (0.29599999999999 0.3)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)16.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 22.15%
    Marseille 54.61%
    Draw 23.23%
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.15%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 St Etienne
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 5-0 St Etienne
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, November 23 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 St Etienne
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Auxerre
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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