While St Louis City are yet to hit the heights we saw from them last season, they are undoubtedly the side with the better form coming into this match and are unbeaten at home after four games in all competitions. The visitors are missing key players and are showing few promising signs at the moment, which is why we feel they will concede a fifth straight defeat in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
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