Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | St Louis City |
66.33% ( 0.14) | 19.29% ( -0.06) | 14.38% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( 0.14) | 41.08% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( 0.14) | 63.47% ( -0.14) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.48% ( 0.08) | 11.52% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.58% ( 0.17) | 36.42% ( -0.17) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.13% ( -0.02) | 40.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.56% ( -0.01) | 77.44% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.99% 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.33% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.29% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.38% |
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