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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | DC United |
43.22% ( 0.29) | 26.12% ( -0.07) | 30.65% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( 0.19) | 51.91% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( 0.17) | 73.66% ( -0.17) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.23) | 23.86% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( 0.32) | 58.05% ( -0.33) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.06) | 31.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( -0.07) | 67.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.65% |
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