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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | DC United |
49.88% ( 0.01) | 23.77% ( -0) | 26.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.01) | 44.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0) | 66.73% ( -0) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( 0.01) | 17.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( 0.01) | 48.64% ( -0.01) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0) | 30.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( -0) | 66.69% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.88% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.35% |
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