SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
44.69% ( 0.39) | 24.46% ( 0.1) | 30.85% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.68) | 44.67% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% ( -0.66) | 67.03% ( 0.67) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( -0.11) | 20.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.64% ( -0.17) | 52.37% ( 0.18) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.65) | 27.45% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.86) | 62.93% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.85% |
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