SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
57.49% ( 0.13) | 21.61% ( -0.04) | 20.89% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( 0.04) | 40.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( 0.05) | 62.78% ( -0.05) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.05) | 13.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( 0.11) | 41.22% ( -0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.07) | 32.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% ( -0.07) | 69.55% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.89% |
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