SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
57.45% ( 0.13) | 20.64% ( -0.07) | 21.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.9% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.3) | 34.36% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.73% ( 0.34) | 56.27% ( -0.34) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.13) | 11.91% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.76% ( 0.28) | 37.24% ( -0.27) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.13) | 28.6% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% ( 0.17) | 64.4% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.92% |
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