SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
41.41% ( 0.03) | 24.42% ( -0) | 34.18% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.43% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0) | 43.31% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( 0) | 65.71% ( -0) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( 0.02) | 21.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( 0.02) | 53.8% ( -0.02) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -0.02) | 59.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.18% |
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