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League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
CU

Salford City
1 - 1
Colchester

Smith (45')
Morton (74'), Mariappa (83'), Humbles (88'), Ingram (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ihionvien (75')
Iandolo (45+3'), Cowley (46'), C (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 5-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 1-1 Colchester United

The spoils could be shared in Greater Manchester, with Salford and Colchester doing enough to prevent the other from scoring a winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawColchester United
43.5% (-2.175 -2.18) 23.08% (0.067 0.07) 33.42% (2.107 2.11)
Both teams to score 64.11% (0.71 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91% (0.536 0.54)37.09% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71% (0.57700000000001 0.58)59.28% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)17.54% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (-1.129 -1.13)48.07% (1.127 1.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (1.453 1.45)22.25% (-1.454 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (2.139 2.14)55.69% (-2.14 -2.14)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 43.5%
    Colchester United 33.42%
    Draw 23.07%
Salford CityDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.321 -0.32)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.68% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.292 0.29)
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.257 0.26)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.302 0.3)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.197 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.216 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.17 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 33.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 5-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Wrexham
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 3-3 Forest Green
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two


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