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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
DR

Salford City
0 - 2
Doncaster


Chesters (39'), Chester (62'), Negru (71'), Negru (90+2'), N'Mai (90+5'), Edwards (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sharp (21'), Molyneux (90+1')
Senior (59'), Yeboah (83')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Salford City and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Port Vale
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
33.6% (0.659 0.66) 24.17% (0.155 0.16) 42.22% (-0.817 -0.82)
Both teams to score 60.15% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.536 -0.54)42.3% (0.534 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.538 -0.54)64.71% (0.536 0.54)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.131 0.13)24.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.184 0.18)59.1% (-0.185 -0.19)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)20.22% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.941 -0.94)52.54% (0.939 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 33.6%
    Doncaster Rovers 42.22%
    Draw 24.17%
Salford CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.191 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.6%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Port Vale
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 5-2 Salford City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Preston
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Everton
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-3 Salford City
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Doncaster 3-5 Middlesbrough
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Hull City
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Darlington 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, July 20 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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