Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
33.6% ( 0.66) | 24.17% ( 0.16) | 42.22% ( -0.82) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.69% ( -0.54) | 42.3% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( -0.54) | 64.71% ( 0.54) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 0.13) | 24.6% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( 0.18) | 59.1% ( -0.19) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% ( -0.58) | 20.22% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.46% ( -0.94) | 52.54% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.22% |
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