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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
ST

Salford City
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Lund (5', 42')
Mnoga (16'), Ashley (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Marquis (15')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Both teams will view Saturday's fixture as a good opportunity to come out on top and progress to the next round. Although Shrewsbury are a division above Salford, the League One outfit are in a spell of poor form at present and the Ammies could capitalise on that in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.

Result
Salford CityDrawShrewsbury Town
43.2% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 25.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 31.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.35% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)46.97% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.073 -0.07)69.22% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.014000000000003 0.01)54.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)28% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-0.133 -0.13)63.64% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 43.2%
    Shrewsbury Town 31.75%
    Draw 25.05%
Salford CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One


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