Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.24%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 29.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.38%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.02) 
