Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
