Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.