SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
36.58% ( -0.28) | 23.45% ( -0.05) | 39.96% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.48% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.77% ( 0.2) | 38.22% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( 0.22) | 60.5% ( -0.22) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.05) | 21.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.04% ( -0.07) | 53.95% ( 0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.23) | 19.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( 0.38) | 51.4% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 39.96% |
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