SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.85%) and 1-3 (5.72%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
31.41% ( 0.07) | 21.9% ( 0.02) | 46.69% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 67.66% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.07) | 32.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.35% ( -0.09) | 53.64% ( 0.08) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% | 20.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( 0) | 53.69% ( -0) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.06) | 14.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.68% ( -0.11) | 42.31% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.41% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 46.69% |
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