Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
