While Sao Paulo have been very good on their home patch this term, it is difficult to back against Botafogo given their record this season. There is very little to choose in this one and we feel these two will share the spoils at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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