Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
1.86) 
-0.44) 
