SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 35.38%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (13.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Lanus |
34.25% ( -0) | 30.37% ( 0) | 35.38% |
| Both teams to score 41.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0.02) | 66.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.25% ( -0.01) | 84.75% ( 0.01) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( -0.01) | 36.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( -0.01) | 73.01% ( 0.01) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.01) | 35.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.01) | 72.21% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.37% | 0-1 @ 13.31% 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 35.37% |
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