SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Sarmiento |
51.53% ( 0.11) | 27.28% ( -0.46) | 21.18% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 41.55% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% ( 1.69) | 62.02% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( 1.23) | 81.75% ( -1.23) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( 0.81) | 24.36% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.23% ( 1.13) | 58.77% ( -1.13) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.94% ( 1.38) | 45.05% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.02% ( 1.08) | 80.97% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.5% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.2% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.72)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.18% |
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