SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Sarmiento |
50.21% ( 0) | 27.69% ( -0) | 22.09% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.43% ( 0) | 62.56% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.85% ( 0) | 82.15% ( -0) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 0) | 25.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( 0) | 59.96% ( -0) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0) | 44.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% ( -0) | 80.46% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.43% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.04% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.09% |
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