Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Sarmiento
50.21% ( 0)	27.69% ( -0)	22.09% ( -0)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.43% (

62.56% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.85% (

82.15% (

-0)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

25.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

59.96% (

-0)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.58% (

-0)

44.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.53% (

-0)

80.46% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lanus 50.21%

Sarmiento 22.09%

Draw 27.69%

Lanus	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.43% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.04% Total : 50.21%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.09%