SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lanus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Lanus |
31.08% ( 0.03) | 30.59% ( -0.26) | 38.34% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 40.19% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.8% ( 0.73) | 67.2% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.6% ( 0.49) | 85.4% ( -0.49) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% ( 0.44) | 39.1% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( 0.41) | 75.81% ( -0.41) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.54) | 34.02% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.58) | 70.7% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.57% | 0-1 @ 14.34% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.33% |
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