SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Racing Club |
23.83% ( -0.02) | 26.91% ( -0.01) | 49.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.26% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.28% ( 0.02) | 58.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.75% ( 0.01) | 79.25% ( -0.01) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( -0.02) | 40.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( -0.02) | 77.09% ( 0.02) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.02) | 23.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( 0.03) | 58.19% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.22% 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 23.83% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 13.85% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.26% |
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