SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Racing Club |
30.1% ( -1.07) | 28.13% ( 0.08) | 41.76% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.61) | 59.66% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.02% ( -0.47) | 79.98% ( 0.47) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -1.12) | 35.67% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -1.18) | 72.45% ( 1.17) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( 0.25) | 28.16% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( 0.32) | 63.85% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.76% |
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