Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match.
Result | ||
Racing Club | Draw | Sarmiento |
67.93% ( -0.09) | 21.17% ( 0.02) | 10.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 36.94% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.59% ( 0.12) | 56.41% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.58% ( 0.1) | 77.42% ( -0.09) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% ( 0.01) | 15.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% ( 0.02) | 44.99% ( -0.02) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.88% ( 0.22) | 56.12% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.46% ( 0.13) | 88.54% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Racing Club | Draw | Sarmiento |
1-0 @ 16.37% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 15.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 67.92% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 10.9% |
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