SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Racing Club |
37.53% ( 0.04) | 28.73% ( 0.02) | 33.75% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.53% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.03% ( -0.06) | 60.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.03% ( -0.04) | 80.97% ( 0.04) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0) | 31.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( -0.01) | 67.64% ( 0.01) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( -0.06) | 33.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( -0.07) | 70.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.74% |
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