Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.14%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Lorenzo | Draw | Sarmiento |
50.75% (![]() | 29.36% (![]() | 19.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 35.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.14% (![]() | 68.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.5% (![]() | 86.5% (![]() |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% (![]() | 27.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% (![]() | 63.57% (![]() |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.39% (![]() | 50.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.92% (![]() | 85.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
San Lorenzo | Draw | Sarmiento |
1-0 @ 18.03% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.49% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 1.43% Total : 50.74% | 0-0 @ 14.14% (![]() 1-1 @ 12.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 9.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.89% |
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