Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.48%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.
