SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (13.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Union |
35.09% ( 0.03) | 31.73% ( 0.04) | 33.18% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.8% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.09) | 70.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.67% ( -0.06) | 87.32% ( 0.06) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.03) | 37.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( -0.03) | 74.6% ( 0.03) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.1) | 39.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( -0.09) | 75.91% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 35.08% | 0-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.73% | 0-1 @ 13.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 33.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
