Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Union	Draw	Sarmiento
45.39% ( 0.29)	30.63% ( -0.09)	23.98% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 36.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.38% (

0.13)

69.62% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.01% (

0.08)

86.99% (

-0.08)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

0.22)

31.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54% (

0.26)

67.46% (

-0.27)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.27% (

-0.12)

46.73% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.72% (

-0.09)

82.28% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Union 45.39%

Sarmiento 23.97%

Draw 30.62%

Union	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 45.39%	0-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.62%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.97%