Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.49%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
Result | ||
Union | Draw | Sarmiento |
51.15% (![]() | 28.89% (![]() | 19.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 36.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.4% (![]() | 67.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.33% (![]() | 85.66% (![]() |
Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% (![]() | 27.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% (![]() | 62.52% (![]() |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.25% (![]() | 49.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.51% (![]() | 84.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union | Draw | Sarmiento |
1-0 @ 17.6% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.48% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.57% Total : 51.13% | 0-0 @ 13.49% (![]() 1-1 @ 12.29% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 9.42% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.96% |
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