SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 58.79%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 3-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Kristiansund |
58.79% ( 0.29) | 19.99% ( -0.02) | 21.22% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 64.28% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.87% ( -0.28) | 32.12% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.29% ( -0.33) | 53.71% ( 0.32) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( -0.01) | 10.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.06% ( -0.03) | 34.94% ( 0.02) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.39) | 27.89% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.5) | 63.51% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 58.79% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.99% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 21.22% |
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